PolMeth is (finally) coming to Europe.
You can still register for the PolMeth Europe Meeting between March 17th and March 19th 2021, hosted online by the University of Hamburg. There are no fees for the inaugural PolMeth Europe Meeting. Please note that you will need the email address you register with to access the virtual conference space. If you are already registered you can directly join the virtual PolMeth Europe meeting below.
We are excited to present the program for the first PolMeth Europe meeting! (All times are CET.)
If you want to join any of the sessions please register for the conference and we will send you information on how to join the sessions.
|Wednesday, 17 March 2021||Thursday, 18 March 2021||Friday, 19 March 2021|
|12:30-13:00||Welcome Address Vera Troeger and Short Intro to gather.town(Room: Keynote)||Hang-out in Gather-Town||Hang-out in Gather-Town|
|13:00-14:30||Parallel sessions||Parallel sessions||Parallel sessions|
|Good Advice(Panel 1)||Modelling Categorical Data(Panel 2)||Causal Inference I(Panel 1)||Text as Data(Panel 2)||More Good Advice(Panel 1)||Qualitative Methods(Panel 2)|
|Taking Distributions Seriously: Interpreting the Effects of Constitutive Variables in Nonlinear Models with InteractionsMert Moral, Evgeny Sedashov, Andrei Zhirnov||Much About Ado Not Very Much? Clarifying the Confusion about Models for Categorical Dependent VariablesMartin Elff||Causal Inference with Latent VariablesLukas Stoetzer, Xiang Zhou, Marco R. Steenbergen||Mining Narratives from Large Text CorporaElliott Ash, Germain Gauthier, Philine Widmer||Cost-Effectiveness and Sample Bias in Recruitment using Facebook paid advertisementsAnja Neundorf, Aykut Öztürk||Combinational Regularity Analysis (CORA): A New Method for Uncovering Complex CausationAlrik Thiem, Lusine Mkrtchyan, Zuzana Sebechlebska|
|Simulating Quantities of Interest when the Dependent Variable is loggedThomas Gschwend, Marcel Neunhoeffer, Oliver Rittmann||Local Identification of Unobserved Heterogeneity in Quantitative Analyses of Strategic Sequential ChoicesXiao Lu, Thomas König||Estimating a Counter-Factual with Uncertainty Through Gaussian Process ProjectionDavid Carlson, Devin Patrick Brown||The value of implementing complex NLP models in political analysis. An elaborative cross-country approachAnnika Fredén, Moa Johansson, Pasko Kisic Merino, Denitsa Saynova||When (not) to trust the overlap in confidence intervals: A practical guideDenis Cohen||Bayesian Nested AnalysisLion Behrens, Ingo Rohlfing|
|Disccusant: Andreas Murr||Discussant: Lukas Stoetzer||Discussants: Dominik Hangartner & Marcel Neunhoeffer||Discussant: Theresa Gessler||Discussant: Thomas Gschwend||Chair: Lukas Stoetzer|
|14:30-15:30||Poster Session I||Poster Session II||Female Network MeetingRegistration required, mail Sabrina|
|15:30-17:00||Parallel sessions||Parallel sessions||Parallel sessions|
|Measurement in Applied Fields(Panel 1)||Spatial and Temporal Dependencies(Panel 2)||Digital Data(Panel 1)||Causal Inference II(Panel 2)||Experiments in Migration Research(Panel 1)||Replication & Sensitive Data(Panel 2)|
|Local Ownership of IFI Conditionality Programs: Conceptualization, Measurement, and ValidationNikitas Konstantinidis, Bernhard Reinsberg||Eigenvector-Based Semiparametric Filtering of Spatial Autocorrelation in Regression ModelsSebastian Juhl||Legislative Communication and Power: Measuring Leadership from Social Media DataDaniel Ebanks, Sanmay Das, Hao Yan, R. Michael Alvarez, Betsy Sinclair||Retrospective causal inference via matrix completion, with an evaluation of the effect of European integration on labour market outcomesJason Poulos, Andrea Albanese, Andrea Mercatanti, Fan Li||Humanitarian Concerns and Acceptance of Syrian Refugees in Turkey: A Conjoint ExperimentAnna Getmansky, Konstantinos Matakos, Tolga Sinmazdemir||Beyond Replication: Secondary Qualitative Data Analysis in Political Science Florian Kern, Katariina Mustasilta|
|Let them eat pie: addressing the partial contestation problem in multiparty electoral contestsAli Kagalwala, Thiago M.Q. Moreira, Guy Whitten||Picture Perfect: Visualizing Statistical and Substantive Significance of ARCH and GARCH ModelsAllyson Benton, Soren Jordan, Andrew Philips||Using Wikipedia as Data and Platform for Political ResearchTheresa Gessler||Profiling Compliers and Non-compliers for Instrumental-Variable AnalysisMoritz Marbach, Dominik Hangartner||Migrants and Winning Votes: Evidence from an Anti-Exploitation Campaign in the Italian FieldsGemma Dipoppa||Reproducible Privacy: Using Differential Privacy to Share Sensitive Research DataSuso Baleato, James Honaker, Mercè Crosas|
|Discussant: Marco Steenbergen||Discussant: Vera Troeger||Discussant: Simon Munzert||Discussant: Max Goplerud||Discussant: Sabrina Mayer||Discussant: Christian Arnold|
|17:00-17:15||Coffee break||Coffee break||Farewell address and award ceremony(Room: Keynote)|
|17:15-18:15||Keynote||Keynote||Social Events in the Gather-Town Pub|
|Frauke KreuterDigital Trace Data: Collection, Applications, and Errors||Neal Beck 50 Years of Political Methodology and Some Suggestions for the Near Future: A Somewhat Personal View|
|Poster Session I||Poster Session II|
|Discovering Treatment Heterogeneity in Conjoint ExperimentsMartin Lukac, Alberto Stefanelli||Utilizing semi-supervised machine learning and a shared semantic space to annotate multidimensional concepts in Political ScienceDror K. Markus, Guy Mor, Vered Porzycki, Alon Zoizner, Effi Levi, Avishai Green, Tamir Sheafer and Shaul R. Shenhav|
|Do Citizens Believe in Electoral Competitiveness under Competitive Authoritarianism? Evidence from a Natural Experiment in TurkeyPaula Jöst, Ioannis Vergioglou, Marc S. Jacob||Burning the Preelection Oil—Environmental Political Business Cycles in VietnamFranziska Quoß, Quynh Nguyen|
|Sensitivity Analysis to Sample Selection BiasOliver Rittmann||The Long Term Effects of War Participation on Political Attitudes: Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design and the Yom Kippur WarChagai Weiss, Anna Getmansky|
|Cross-lingual supervised classification of political textsHauke Licht||The Divided (But Not More Predictable) Electorate: A Machine Learning Analysis of Voting in American Presidential ElectionsSeo-young Silvia Kim, Jan Zilinsky|
|Measuring Political Elite Networks with WikidataOmer Yalcin||Bureaucrats, Politicians, and the Strategic Use of InformationLuca Bellodi|
|Modeling State Legislator Networks on TwitterIshita Gopal, Taegyoon Kim, Nitheesha Nakka, Bruce Desmarais||Judicial Politics in Consumer BankruptcyDavid Cai|
|Click, click boom: Using Wikipedia metadata to predict changes in battle-related deathsChristian Oswald, Daniel Ohrenhofer||Lessons from Practice: Ideological Scaling of German Parliamentary DebatesDana S. Atzpodien|
|Bad News for Democracy? Browsing Behavior Can Signal Political AttitudesNora Kirkizh, Roberto Ulloa, Sebastian Stier, Jürgen Pfeffer||Precision in Survey Experiments -- A New Method to Improve Blocking on Ordinal VariablesSimon Heuberger|
|Estimating Historical Election Results under Counterfactual Electoral SystemsSamuel Baltz||A Bayesian Method for Evidence Synthesis in Political ScienceLion Behrens, Simon Ellerbrock, Rebecca Kuiper|
|The new 'Eurlex dataset' of 148.000+ EU legal acts and an illustrative use caseCamille Borrett, Moritz Laurer|
|Just How Local Is Your Local Average Treatment Effect? Assessing the External Validity of Instrumental Variable Estimates.Alice Iannantuoni|
|Machine Learning for Time-Series Cross-Section DataDavid Broska, Julian Garritzmann Kilian Seng|
We are eager to facilitate an exciting and productive conference that is at the same time also an enjoyable social event. At a conference we expose our new ideas to a larger audience of colleagues which is always a leap of faith. As organisers of the conference, we formulated a mission statement that reflects our values and summarises the spirit of the event we imagine.
We appreciate the contribution of each participant and are curious about what they are proposing. Our comments intend to help improve their work. In offering feedback, we are mindful that we all have different personal backgrounds and different academic upbringings. We consider our diversity to be one of our core assets. Our different viewpoints ultimately help further our joint goal: better science.
1 Papers and Poster Presentations
The format of the panels will be as follows:
The format of the posters will be as follows:
2 The Conference Venue
We will meet for the conference on gather.town.
IMPORTANT: You will need an access code to enter the conference venue. Please make sure to register above so that we can reach out to you with the necessary details.
Gather.town is a tool for getting to both explore and chat with other people.
What you need:
How it works:
Our conference venue will be live from Wednesday March 17th in case you want to try it out a little earlier.
For the panels themselves we will use Zoom. You will be able to access the Zoom panels via gather.town.
One year into the pandemic, the Zoom netiquette is certainly all too familiar for us.
3 Social Events During PolMeth Europe
To further the community building, we also envisioned social events during the conference.
A lot of us have papers on which we already worked for maybe already a couple of weeks or even months. At one point, however, the project came to an end. Not because it was particularly bad, but more important things came along that crowded out our attention for the project. A considerable time already went into this research project, which means there are sunk costs. It is a pity that these papers are dormant in our drawers. What if someone came along who thinks that this project is worth a fresh look and would help you realise it?
At PolMeth, we want to create a market where people can meet to unearth the sunk costs in these projects. We want match those who have a project with those who might have an interest in restarting it. In our virtual conference space, there will be a large poster where you can post your paper projects. Other participants can read the abstracts and signal interest in a particular project. That way, the original author knows whether there is any interest from others to follow up and can decide to reach out to potential co-authors to keep working on things.
In case you are interested to participate, please send us via email the abstract of your dormant paper that you have already been working on until March 12th. We will then add it to the mural with the paper proposals.
We are keen to see this initiative at work and are looking for a dedicated group of peers to take this idea even further. Why not establishing such a paper market place at a larger scale? If you want to discuss how to develop this market place, meet me (Chris Arnold) anywhere in the conference space.
At a first conference of what has to ambition of becoming one of many, feedback is crucial to adapt the format to the need of participants. Does the workshop meet all expectations? What worked well? Where is room for improvement?
In addition, researchers also very often have good ideas about things that would be awesome to do or engage in beyond just the academic event. Think of all kind of infrastructures, platforms, discussions, software, data et cetera that such a PolMeth Europe community could create and benefit from. We want to give a space to all these ideas that might be in the back of your mind. Please find a virtual mural at the central plaza on gather.town where you can leave your feedback.
Social Events on Gather.Town
The platform itself is a great place to socialise. Always feel free to hang out there before and after the main events. We are also planning a special event on Friday evening once all panels are over.